Predicting Storm Surges

In this chapter, we present a second example of statistical estimation of extreme quantiles: millennial quantiles for storm surges at Brest (France), based on hourly sea-level measurements. We run sensitivity tests on parameter values, on the choice of analytic models for distributions, and on the statistical estimation methods chosen. Uncertainty in estimates and associated confidence intervals are also calculated and compared.

M. Andreewsky - Extreme Value Theory with Applications to Natural Hazards, pp345-359, Springer, Cham